Fixed communication services revenue in Japan forecast to hit $26.9b in 2030

Drivers include increased demand for high-speed broadband connectivity.

In Japan, telcos are poised to rake in $26.9b in earnings from fixed communication services in 2030.

According to estimates by GlobalData, the projected fixed communication services revenue represents an increase from 2025's $26.4b.
   
The intelligence platform noted: "Fixed voice service revenue will drop at a CAGR (compound annual growth rate) of 1.8% over the forecast period as operators offer free voice telephony as a part of multi-play bundled plans.

"Fixed broadband service revenue, on the contrary, is expected to increase at a moderate CAGR of 1.3%, supported by steady growth in fibre-optic access lines."

It was pointed out that fibre broadband's continued growth is offsetting the ongoing decline of traditional voice services, marking a "structural transition" in the market.

"Fibre will remain the leading broadband technology, increasing its share of total fixed broadband subscriptions from 87.9% in 2025 to 88.8% in 2030," said GlobalData Telecom Analyst Neha Mishra.

"Growing demand for high-speed broadband connectivity, government's focus on fibre-optic network expansion, and the gradual phasing out of DSL services in the country will support the growth in fibre broadband subscriptions over the forecast period."

By the end of next year, the goal is to achieve 99.9% residential fibre-optic coverage in Japan.

Commenting further on the market implications, Mishra added: "As broadband becomes the core revenue engine, operators will increasingly focus on network upgrades, premium speed tiers, and value-added services to sustain growth.

"Competitive differentiation will depend on service quality, pricing flexibility, and the ability to monetise high-capacity fibre networks."

Japan's fixed broadband services market is currently led by NTT.